La Liga

380 matches played 0 remaining 100,000 simulations per model
Current league table — 380 matches played, 0 remaining
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Pts Range Pos Range
1 Barça 38 31 1 6 95 36 +59 94 94–94 1–1
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77 35 +42 86 86–86 2–2
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72 46 +26 72 72–72 3–3
4 Atleti 38 21 6 11 62 44 +18 69 69–69 4–4
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 59 48 +11 60 60–60 5–5
6 Celta 38 14 12 12 53 48 +5 54 54–54 6–6
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32 38 -6 51 51–51 7–7
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41 44 -3 50 50–50 8–8
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46 55 -9 49 49–49 9–9
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59 61 -2 46 46–46 10–11
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43 55 -12 46 46–46 10–11
12 Athletic 38 13 6 19 43 58 -15 45 45–45 12–12
13 Elche 38 10 13 15 49 57 -8 43 43–43 13–15
14 Alavés 38 11 10 17 44 56 -12 43 43–43 13–15
15 Sevilla FC 38 12 7 19 46 60 -14 43 43–43 13–15
16 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44 50 -6 42 42–42 16–18
17 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47 57 -10 42 42–42 16–18
18 Levante 38 11 9 18 47 61 -14 42 42–42 16–18
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39 55 -16 41 41–41 19–19
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26 60 -34 29 29–29 20–20
GlobalRateModel (home: 46.0%, draw: 25.0%, away: 29.0%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Espanyol 10.5 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Real Sociedad 10.5 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Alavés 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Elche 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Sevilla FC 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Mallorca 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.2% 0.0%
17 Osasuna 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.4% 0.0%
18 Levante 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.5% 0.0%
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
SeasonRateModel (home: 48.9%, draw: 24.5%, away: 26.6%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Espanyol 10.5 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Real Sociedad 10.5 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Sevilla FC 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Elche 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Alavés 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Mallorca 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.2% 0.0%
17 Osasuna 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.2% 0.0%
18 Levante 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.6% 0.0%
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
PoissonModel (home avg: 1.92, away avg: 1.00, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 94–94+59–+59 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.370.94
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 86–86+42–+42 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.410.81
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 72–72+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.321.04
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 69–69+18–+18 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.931.16
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 60–60+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.131.12
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 54–54+5–+5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.890.67
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 51–51-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.450.48
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 50–50-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.170.56
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 49–49-9–-9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.881.11
10 Real Sociedad 10.0 10–10 46–46-2–-2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.191.80
11 Espanyol 11.0 11–11 46–46-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.080.84
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 45–45-15–-15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.011.34
13 Elche 13.0 13–13 43–43-8–-8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.840.63
14 Alavés 14.0 14–14 43–43-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.820.94
15 Sevilla FC 15.0 15–15 43–43-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.580.90
16 Osasuna 16.0 16–16 42–42-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.501.20
17 Mallorca 17.0 17–17 42–42-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.930.78
18 Levante 18.0 18–18 42–42-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.130.85
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 41–41-16–-16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.530.88
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 29–29-34–-34 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.191.14
DixonColesModel (home avg: 1.92, away avg: 1.00, rho: -0.070, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 94–94+59–+59 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.370.94
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 86–86+42–+42 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.410.81
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 72–72+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.321.04
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 69–69+18–+18 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.931.16
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 60–60+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.131.12
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 54–54+5–+5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.890.67
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 51–51-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.450.48
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 50–50-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.170.56
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 49–49-9–-9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.881.11
10 Real Sociedad 10.0 10–10 46–46-2–-2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.191.80
11 Espanyol 11.0 11–11 46–46-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.080.84
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 45–45-15–-15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.011.34
13 Elche 13.0 13–13 43–43-8–-8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.840.63
14 Alavés 14.0 14–14 43–43-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.820.94
15 Sevilla FC 15.0 15–15 43–43-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.580.90
16 Osasuna 16.0 16–16 42–42-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.501.20
17 Mallorca 17.0 17–17 42–42-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.930.78
18 Levante 18.0 18–18 42–42-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.130.85
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 41–41-16–-16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.530.88
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 29–29-34–-34 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.191.14
NegBinModel (home avg: 1.92, away avg: 1.00, alpha: 0.000, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 94–94+59–+59 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.370.94
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 86–86+42–+42 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.410.81
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 72–72+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.321.04
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 69–69+18–+18 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.931.16
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 60–60+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.131.12
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 54–54+5–+5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.890.67
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 51–51-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.450.48
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 50–50-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.170.56
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 49–49-9–-9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.881.11
10 Real Sociedad 10.0 10–10 46–46-2–-2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.191.80
11 Espanyol 11.0 11–11 46–46-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.080.84
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 45–45-15–-15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.011.34
13 Elche 13.0 13–13 43–43-8–-8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.840.63
14 Alavés 14.0 14–14 43–43-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.820.94
15 Sevilla FC 15.0 15–15 43–43-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.580.90
16 Osasuna 16.0 16–16 42–42-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.501.20
17 Mallorca 17.0 17–17 42–42-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.930.78
18 Levante 18.0 18–18 42–42-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.130.85
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 41–41-16–-16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.530.88
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 29–29-34–-34 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.191.14
EloModel (K=20, home adv: 50 Elo pts, draw rate: 24.5%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last Elo
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1674
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1630
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1570
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1551
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1539
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1510
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1491
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1507
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1499
10 Espanyol 10.5 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1455
11 Real Sociedad 10.5 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1489
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1451
13 Alavés 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1460
14 Sevilla FC 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1448
15 Elche 14.0 13–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1465
16 Mallorca 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0% 1468
17 Levante 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.4% 0.0% 1470
18 Osasuna 17.0 16–18 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0% 1461
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1463
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1400
EloPoissonModel (K=20, MoV-scaled, home adv: 50 Elo pts, home avg: 1.57, away avg: 1.12)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last Elo
1 Barça 1.0 1–1 94–94+59–+59 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1674
2 Real Madrid 2.0 2–2 86–86+42–+42 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1630
3 Villarreal 3.0 3–3 72–72+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1570
4 Atleti 4.0 4–4 69–69+18–+18 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1551
5 Real Betis 5.0 5–5 60–60+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1539
6 Celta 6.0 6–6 54–54+5–+5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1510
7 Getafe 7.0 7–7 51–51-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1491
8 Rayo Vallecano 8.0 8–8 50–50-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1507
9 Valencia 9.0 9–9 49–49-9–-9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1499
10 Real Sociedad 10.0 10–10 46–46-2–-2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1489
11 Espanyol 11.0 11–11 46–46-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1455
12 Athletic 12.0 12–12 45–45-15–-15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1451
13 Elche 13.0 13–13 43–43-8–-8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1465
14 Alavés 14.0 14–14 43–43-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1460
15 Sevilla FC 15.0 15–15 43–43-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1448
16 Osasuna 16.0 16–16 42–42-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1461
17 Mallorca 17.0 17–17 42–42-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1468
18 Levante 18.0 18–18 42–42-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1470
19 Girona 19.0 19–19 41–41-16–-16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1463
20 Real Oviedo 20.0 20–20 29–29-34–-34 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1400
Top 4
Bottom 3
Generated 2026-06-10 19:16
Disclaimer: These are simulated statistical models for entertainment purposes only. Results are based on publicly available data and are believed to be accurate, but no guarantees are made.