Ligue 1

305 matches played 1 remaining 100,000 simulations per model
Current league table — 305 matches played, 1 remaining
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Pts Range Pos Range
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74 29 +45 76 76–76 1–1
2 RC Lens 34 22 4 8 66 35 +31 70 70–70 2–2
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52 37 +15 61 61–61 3–3
4 Olympique Lyon 34 18 6 10 53 40 +13 60 60–60 4–4
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63 45 +18 59 59–59 5–6
6 Stade Rennais 34 17 8 9 59 50 +9 59 59–59 5–6
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60 54 +6 54 54–54 7–7
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58 47 +11 53 53–53 8–8
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48 51 -3 45 45–45 9–10
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 47 46 +1 44 44–47 9–11
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47 50 -3 44 44–44 10–11
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43 55 -12 39 39–39 12–12
13 Angers SCO 34 9 9 16 29 48 -19 36 36–36 13–13
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32 44 -12 35 35–35 14–14
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34 44 -10 34 34–34 15–15
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37 60 -23 32 32–32 16–16
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29 52 -23 23 23–26 17–17
18 FC Metz 34 3 8 23 32 76 -44 17 17–17 18–18
GlobalRateModel (home: 46.0%, draw: 25.0%, away: 29.0%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Stade Rennais 5.5 5–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Marseille 5.5 5–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Lorient 9.4 9–10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Toulouse 9.8 9–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Paris FC 10.8 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
SeasonRateModel (home: 46.2%, draw: 24.3%, away: 29.5%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Stade Rennais 5.5 5–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Marseille 5.5 5–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Lorient 9.4 9–10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Toulouse 9.8 9–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Paris FC 10.8 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
PoissonModel (home avg: 1.43, away avg: 1.62, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 76–76+45–+45 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.160.56
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 70–70+31–+31 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.250.62
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 61–61+15–+15 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.650.61
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 60–60+13–+13 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.871.38
5 Marseille 5.0 5–5 59–59+18–+18 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.170.77
6 Stade Rennais 6.0 6–6 59–59+9–+9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.151.26
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 54–54+6–+6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.221.58
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 53–53+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.681.32
9 Lorient 9.5 9–10 45–45-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.070.92
10 Toulouse 9.6 9–11 44–47-3–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.190.93
11 Paris FC 11.0 10–11 44–44-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.100.94
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 39–39-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.561.13
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 36–36-19–-19 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.590.91
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 35–35-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.820.74
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 34–34-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.190.57
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 32–32-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.490.82
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 23–26-26–-19 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.820.79
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 17–17-44–-44 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.421.32
DixonColesModel (home avg: 1.43, away avg: 1.62, rho: -0.010, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 76–76+45–+45 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.160.56
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 70–70+31–+31 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.250.62
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 61–61+15–+15 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.650.61
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 60–60+13–+13 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.871.38
5 Marseille 5.0 5–5 59–59+18–+18 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.170.77
6 Stade Rennais 6.0 6–6 59–59+9–+9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.151.26
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 54–54+6–+6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.221.58
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 53–53+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.681.32
9 Lorient 9.5 9–10 45–45-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.070.92
10 Toulouse 9.6 9–11 44–47-3–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.190.93
11 Paris FC 11.0 10–11 44–44-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.100.94
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 39–39-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.561.13
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 36–36-19–-19 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.590.91
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 35–35-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.820.74
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 34–34-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.190.57
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 32–32-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.490.82
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 23–26-26–-19 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.820.79
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 17–17-44–-44 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.421.32
NegBinModel (home avg: 1.43, away avg: 1.62, alpha: 0.152, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 76–76+45–+45 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.160.56
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 70–70+31–+31 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.250.62
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 61–61+15–+15 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.650.61
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 60–60+13–+13 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.871.38
5 Marseille 5.0 5–5 59–59+18–+18 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.170.77
6 Stade Rennais 6.0 6–6 59–59+9–+9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.151.26
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 54–54+6–+6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.221.58
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 53–53+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.681.32
9 Lorient 9.5 9–10 45–45-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.070.92
10 Toulouse 9.6 9–11 44–47-4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.190.93
11 Paris FC 10.9 10–11 44–44-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.100.94
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 39–39-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.561.13
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 36–36-19–-19 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.590.91
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 35–35-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.820.74
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 34–34-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.190.57
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 32–32-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.490.82
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 23–26-26–-18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.820.79
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 17–17-44–-44 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.421.32
EloModel (K=20, home adv: 50 Elo pts, draw rate: 24.3%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last Elo
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1629
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1594
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1550
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1541
5 Stade Rennais 5.5 5–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1549
6 Marseille 5.5 5–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1537
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1524
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1531
9 Lorient 9.5 9–10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1501
10 Toulouse 9.6 9–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1495
11 Paris FC 10.8 10–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1510
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1457
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1434
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1463
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1479
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1432
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1415
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1362
EloPoissonModel (K=20, MoV-scaled, home adv: 50 Elo pts, home avg: 1.59, away avg: 1.24)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last Elo
1 PSG 1.0 1–1 76–76+45–+45 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1629
2 RC Lens 2.0 2–2 70–70+31–+31 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1594
3 Lille 3.0 3–3 61–61+15–+15 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1550
4 Olympique Lyon 4.0 4–4 60–60+13–+13 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1541
5 Marseille 5.0 5–5 59–59+18–+18 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1537
6 Stade Rennais 6.0 6–6 59–59+9–+9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1549
7 Monaco 7.0 7–7 54–54+6–+6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1524
8 Strasbourg 8.0 8–8 53–53+11–+11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1531
9 Toulouse 9.3 9–10 44–47-2–+5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1495
10 Lorient 9.7 9–10 45–45-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1501
11 Paris FC 11.0 11–11 44–44-3–-3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1510
12 Brest 12.0 12–12 39–39-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1457
13 Angers SCO 13.0 13–13 36–36-19–-19 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1434
14 Le Havre 14.0 14–14 35–35-12–-12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1463
15 Auxerre 15.0 15–15 34–34-10–-10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1479
16 Nice 16.0 16–16 32–32-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1432
17 Nantes 17.0 17–17 23–26-27–-20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1415
18 FC Metz 18.0 18–18 17–17-44–-44 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1362
Top 4
Bottom 3
Generated 2026-06-10 19:17
Disclaimer: These are simulated statistical models for entertainment purposes only. Results are based on publicly available data and are believed to be accurate, but no guarantees are made.