Eredivisie

306 matches played 0 remaining 100,000 simulations per model
Current league table — 306 matches played, 0 remaining
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Pts Range Pos Range
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101 45 +56 84 84–84 1–1
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70 44 +26 65 65–65 2–2
3 NEC 34 16 11 7 77 53 +24 59 59–59 3–3
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59 40 +19 58 58–58 4–4
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62 41 +21 56 56–56 5–5
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55 42 +13 53 53–53 6–6
7 AZ 34 14 10 10 58 51 +7 52 52–52 7–7
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57 53 +4 51 51–51 8–8
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49 45 +4 48 48–48 9–9
10 Sparta 34 12 7 15 40 62 -22 43 43–43 10–10
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49 63 -14 39 39–39 11–11
12 Go Ahead 34 8 14 12 54 53 +1 38 38–38 12–13
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43 56 -13 38 38–38 12–13
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49 55 -6 37 37–37 14–15
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44 71 -27 37 37–37 14–15
16 Volendam 34 8 8 18 35 55 -20 32 32–32 16–16
17 NAC 34 6 11 17 35 58 -23 29 29–29 17–17
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35 85 -50 19 19–19 18–18
GlobalRateModel (home: 46.0%, draw: 25.0%, away: 29.0%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Excelsior 12.5 12–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Go Ahead 12.5 12–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Telstar 14.5 14–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Zwolle 14.5 14–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
SeasonRateModel (home: 44.4%, draw: 26.1%, away: 29.4%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Excelsior 12.5 12–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Go Ahead 12.5 12–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Zwolle 14.5 14–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Telstar 14.5 14–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
PoissonModel (home avg: 1.83, away avg: 1.37, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 84–84+56–+56 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.340.77
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 65–65+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.140.56
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 59–59+24–+24 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.040.86
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 58–58+19–+19 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.271.09
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 56–56+21–+21 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.720.73
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 53–53+13–+13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.080.68
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 52–52+7–+7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.021.06
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 51–51+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.530.64
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 48–48+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.100.85
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 43–43-22–-22 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.631.74
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 39–39-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.721.22
12 Go Ahead 12.0 12–12 38–38+1–+1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.831.42
13 Excelsior 13.0 13–13 38–38-13–-13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.370.89
14 Telstar 14.0 14–14 37–37-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.280.61
15 Zwolle 15.0 15–15 37–37-27–-27 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.751.47
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 32–32-20–-20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.640.96
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 29–29-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.040.92
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 19–19-50–-50 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.351.45
DixonColesModel (home avg: 1.83, away avg: 1.37, rho: -0.070, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 84–84+56–+56 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.340.77
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 65–65+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.140.56
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 59–59+24–+24 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.040.86
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 58–58+19–+19 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.271.09
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 56–56+21–+21 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.720.73
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 53–53+13–+13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.080.68
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 52–52+7–+7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.021.06
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 51–51+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.530.64
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 48–48+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.100.85
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 43–43-22–-22 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.631.74
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 39–39-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.721.22
12 Go Ahead 12.0 12–12 38–38+1–+1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.831.42
13 Excelsior 13.0 13–13 38–38-13–-13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.370.89
14 Telstar 14.0 14–14 37–37-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.280.61
15 Zwolle 15.0 15–15 37–37-27–-27 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.751.47
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 32–32-20–-20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.640.96
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 29–29-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.040.92
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 19–19-50–-50 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.351.45
NegBinModel (home avg: 1.83, away avg: 1.37, alpha: 0.014, half-life: 10)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last AtkDef
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 84–84+56–+56 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.340.77
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 65–65+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.140.56
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 59–59+24–+24 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.040.86
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 58–58+19–+19 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.271.09
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 56–56+21–+21 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.720.73
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 53–53+13–+13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.080.68
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 52–52+7–+7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.021.06
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 51–51+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.530.64
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 48–48+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.100.85
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 43–43-22–-22 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.631.74
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 39–39-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.721.22
12 Go Ahead 12.0 12–12 38–38+1–+1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.831.42
13 Excelsior 13.0 13–13 38–38-13–-13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.370.89
14 Telstar 14.0 14–14 37–37-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.280.61
15 Zwolle 15.0 15–15 37–37-27–-27 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.751.47
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 32–32-20–-20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.640.96
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 29–29-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.040.92
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 19–19-50–-50 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.351.45
EloModel (K=20, home adv: 50 Elo pts, draw rate: 26.1%)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last Elo
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1666
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1573
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1568
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1569
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1562
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1545
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1519
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1522
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1508
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1443
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1447
12 Go Ahead 12.5 12–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1482
13 Excelsior 12.5 12–13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1470
14 Telstar 14.5 14–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1489
15 Zwolle 14.5 14–15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1434
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1431
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1429
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1343
EloPoissonModel (K=20, MoV-scaled, home adv: 50 Elo pts, home avg: 1.80, away avg: 1.38)about this model
# Team Avg Pos 95% CI Pts CIGD CI 1st Top 4 Bot 3 Last Elo
1 PSV 1.0 1–1 84–84+56–+56 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1666
2 Feyenoord 2.0 2–2 65–65+26–+26 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1573
3 NEC 3.0 3–3 59–59+24–+24 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1568
4 Twente 4.0 4–4 58–58+19–+19 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1569
5 Ajax 5.0 5–5 56–56+21–+21 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1562
6 Utrecht 6.0 6–6 53–53+13–+13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1545
7 AZ 7.0 7–7 52–52+7–+7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1519
8 Heerenveen 8.0 8–8 51–51+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1522
9 Groningen 9.0 9–9 48–48+4–+4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1508
10 Sparta 10.0 10–10 43–43-22–-22 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1443
11 Sittard 11.0 11–11 39–39-14–-14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1447
12 Go Ahead 12.0 12–12 38–38+1–+1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1482
13 Excelsior 13.0 13–13 38–38-13–-13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1470
14 Telstar 14.0 14–14 37–37-6–-6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1489
15 Zwolle 15.0 15–15 37–37-27–-27 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1434
16 Volendam 16.0 16–16 32–32-20–-20 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1431
17 NAC 17.0 17–17 29–29-23–-23 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1429
18 Heracles 18.0 18–18 19–19-50–-50 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1343
Top 4
Bottom 3
Generated 2026-06-10 19:17
Disclaimer: These are simulated statistical models for entertainment purposes only. Results are based on publicly available data and are believed to be accurate, but no guarantees are made.